Advanced Communications Technologies

 

The Futurist is a magazine that covers trends, forecasts and ideas about the future and is published by the World Future Society, a non-profit educational and scientific organization chartered in Washington, D.C.  Their website is www.wfs.org.

The Futurist May-June 2009 featured an article titled, Trends Shaping Tomorrow’s World/Forecasts and Implications for Business, written by Marvin J. Cetron and Owen Davies.  During the next few weeks we will be presenting segments of their article as they relate to businesses and business owners.

Advanced communications technologies are changing the way we live and work.

  • Web 2.0 services are building communities nearly as complex and involving as those existing wholly in the real world
  • MySpace and Facebook have a total of more than 180 million members who form communities of friends, most of whom have never met except on the Internet.
  • However, the millennial generation has already abandoned e-mail for most purposes other than communicating with “clueless” parents and grandparents.  Most have adopted instant messaging and social network Web sites to communicate with their peers.
  • Telecommuting is growing rapidly, thanks largely to ever-advancing communication technologies.  About 80% of companies worldwide now have employees who work at home, up from 54% in 2003.  The number of telecommuters in the United States reached an estimated 20 million in 2006.
  • At&T says that 90% of its employees do some work away from the office, while 41% work at home one or two days per week.  This saves the company a reported $180 million a year.

Implications

E-mail promised to speed business.  Instead, it absorbs more time than busy executives can afford to lose.  Expect the nascent reaction against e-mail to grow as many people eliminate mailing lists, demand precise e-communications rather than open-ended conversation, and schedule only brief periods for dealing with mail.

Instant messaging is likely to be even more destructive of time for the under-30 set.   However, e-mail is a major contributor to globalization and outsourcing, because it  eliminates many of the obstacles of doing business across long distances and many time  zones.

Unfortunately, e-mail and other modern communications techniques also have  made possible a variety of crimes, from online fraud to some forms of identity theft.

The next Futurist article: Specialization

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172 Responses to “Advanced Communications Technologies”

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